Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028676 0.030895 0.033216 0.035826 0.038685 0.041725 0.045206
2025-02-02 0.025376 0.028575 0.032101 0.036288 0.041142 0.046612 0.053274
2025-02-09 0.022719 0.026428 0.030677 0.035933 0.042297 0.049803 0.059394
2025-02-16 0.020838 0.024880 0.029657 0.035767 0.043436 0.052831 0.065340
2025-02-23 0.019286 0.023534 0.028690 0.035472 0.044254 0.055371 0.070718
2025-03-02 0.018120 0.022540 0.028033 0.035443 0.045309 0.058179 0.076546
2025-03-09 0.016927 0.021410 0.027095 0.034936 0.045635 0.059969 0.081047
2025-03-16 0.015818 0.020306 0.026100 0.034253 0.045627 0.061240 0.084838
2025-03-23 0.014971 0.019488 0.025420 0.033924 0.046044 0.063075 0.089511
2025-03-30 0.014217 0.018745 0.024788 0.033603 0.046420 0.064831 0.094146
2025-04-06 0.013421 0.017900 0.023961 0.032946 0.046244 0.065735 0.097501
2025-04-13 0.013027 0.017587 0.023851 0.033293 0.047544 0.068889 0.104572
2025-04-20 0.012525 0.017102 0.023478 0.033243 0.048252 0.071203 0.110513
2025-04-27 0.012196 0.016845 0.023416 0.033644 0.049665 0.074692 0.118666
2025-05-04 0.011681 0.016295 0.022895 0.033315 0.049905 0.076312 0.123758
2025-05-11 0.011254 0.015851 0.022508 0.033163 0.050404 0.078363 0.129738
2025-05-18 0.010825 0.015385 0.022064 0.032893 0.050686 0.080056 0.135191
2025-05-25 0.010488 0.015041 0.021786 0.032867 0.051356 0.082430 0.142061
2025-06-01 0.010064 0.014548 0.021255 0.032403 0.051259 0.083460 0.146480
2025-06-08 0.009628 0.014018 0.020646 0.031778 0.050849 0.083902 0.149786
2025-06-15 0.009293 0.013632 0.020246 0.031478 0.050975 0.085298 0.155053
2025-06-22 0.008979 0.013267 0.019863 0.031184 0.051091 0.086672 0.160375
2025-06-29 0.008615 0.012810 0.019314 0.030582 0.050622 0.086929 0.163420